Akbar Eka Prayoga Syiah Kuala University   JL Inong Balee, Kopelma, Darussalam Banda Aceh, Aceh 23111 Indonesia   nicholasedward402@gmail.com   https://usk.ac.id           JEL Areas: C1 : Econometric and Statistical Methods: General E : Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics