Robert Taylor Department of Economics, University of Birmingham   Department of Economics, University of Birmingham, Edgbaston Park Road, Edgbaston Birmingham, West Midlands B15 2TT U.K.   R.Taylor@bham.ac.uk         Primary Research Focus: Time series econometrics   JEL Areas: C2 : Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General C1 : Econometric and Statistical Methods: General