Javier J. Perez centrA (Fundacion Centro de Estudios Andaluces)   c/Bailen 50 Sevilla, 41001 Spain   javierjperez@fundacion-centra.org   http://www.fundacion-centra.org/econo/javierjperez   Biographical Sketch: Ph. D. Economics, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, Spain. Fiscal Policies Division, European Central Bank, 1999-2001. Currently: Research Officer, centrA (Seville, Spain), and Associate Professor Universidad Pablo de Olavide de Sevilla.   Primary Research Focus: Fiscal policies; Forecasting and Monitoring; Economic Modeling.   JEL Areas: E6 : Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General C0 : Mathematical and Quantitative Methods: General