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Jonathan Rork and Stephen Fink |
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''The Importance of Self-Selection in Casino Cannibalization of State Lotteries'' |
( 2003, Vol. 8 No.10 ) |
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This note extends the work of Elliott and Navin (2002) on the substitutability of commercial casinos and state lotteries by controlling for a potential negative selection bias. We utilize a Heckman two-step selection correction in which our first stage probit involves whether or not a state has legalized commercial casinos. Results indicate that a $1 increase in state casino tax revenue will reduce net lottery proceeds by $0.56. This estimate is 33% smaller than what has been found in other studies, which is consistent with a negative selection bias. |
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Keywords: |
JEL: H7 - State and Local Government; Intergovernmental Relations: General
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Manuscript Received : May 18 2003 | | Manuscript Accepted : Sep 16 2003 |
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