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| Reginaldo Pinto Nogueira Jr. |
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| ''Is monetary policy really neutral in the long-run? Evidence for some emerging and developed economies'' |
| ( 2009, Vol. 29 No.3 ) |
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| The traditional economic theory suggests that changes in the money supply or in the interest rates can influence the business cycle, but not the long-run potential output. In other words, monetary policy is neutral over the long-run. In this paper we use some new developments in econometrics to test for the existence of a long-run relationship between the monetary policy instrument used by most Central Banks - short-term interest rates - and real output. Using annual data for 14 emerging and developed countries our results offer overall support for the traditional economic theory. |
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| Keywords: Money neutrality, monetary policy, cointegration tests. |
JEL:
E4 - Money and Interest Rates: General |
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| Manuscript Received : Jun 13 2009 | | Manuscript Accepted : Sep 28 2009 |
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