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Kazuyuki Iwata
''The relationship between traffic accidents and economic growth in China''
( 2010, Vol. 30 No.4 )
Using province-level panel data in China, we examine the relationship between traffic accidents and economic growth. A semiparametric partial linear model is used to account for potential nonlinearity in the relationship. The estimation results indicate that the relationship exhibits an inverted U-shaped pattern; traffic fatality and injury increase as provincial GDP per capita rise up to about $1500 and $4000 respectively, and decline thereafter. Unlike cross-country studies in the literature, we show that traffic fatalities in the entire China are already in a decreasing phase.
Keywords: Traffic Accidents, Economic Growth, China, Semiparametric Analysis
JEL: R4 - Transportation Systems: General
R1 - General Regional Economics (includes Regional Data)
Manuscript Received : Apr 15 2010 Manuscript Accepted : Dec 09 2010

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