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Tauã Vital, Daniel Morais De Souza and Jessica Faciroli
 
''Unemployment, poverty and police performance: an ARDL analysis of crime in São Paulo''
( 2020, Vol. 40 No.1 )
 
 
The main objective of this study is to determine which factors are related to the reduction of crime rates in the city of São Paulo in the last decades. This article presents and tests hypotheses of how São Paulo's decline in crime rate is linked to economic and social conditions and improved police performance. For empirical purposes, we focus on a single unitary space - the city of São Paulo - to avoid the risk of spatial dependence already identified in many crime studies. We use an autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) cointegration structure. The results presented in our article point to a different solution to fight crime, public policies that encourage the labor market are more difficult in the long term.
 
 
Keywords: crime, ARDL, police, public policies, labor market.
JEL: E2 - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment: General (includes Measurement and Data)
C2 - Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General
 
Manuscript Received : Nov 01 2019 Manuscript Accepted : Feb 05 2020

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