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ralph lauren polo

Thierry Kangoye
''Instability from trade and democracy: the long-run effect of aid''
( 2008, Vol. 6 No.41 )
Is there an effect of aid on democracy conditional on instability from trade ? This paper reinvestigate the debated effect of aid on democracy with a new specification. We take advantage of previous empirical findings explaining the role of aid in mitigating the adverse effects of external shocks, and argue that in the long term, aggregate aid flows can potentially dampen the effects of terms-of-trade instability on the quality of democracy. An empirical investigation with data from 70 developing countries (28 of them african countries) over the period 1980-2003 (pooled in two twelve-years periods) provides supportive results. Moreover, the data suggest that terms-of-trade instability affects democracy through income instability. These results are robust to alternative specifications and to the use of different measures of aid intensity and democracy.
JEL: F4 - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General
O1 - Economic Development: General
Manuscript Received : Aug 30 2008 Manuscript Accepted : Sep 26 2008

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