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Terence tai-leung Chong, Cally Choi and Benjamin Everard
''Who will win the Nobel Prize?''
( 2009, Vol. 29 No.2 )
This paper identifies the determinants of the Nobel Prize Award. The analysis is analogous in spirit to Hamermesh and Schmidt (Econometrica, 2003) on the election of Econometric Society fellows. It is found that the number of citations, age and nationality have significant impacts on the odds of winning the Nobel. We provide the first statistical evidence that John Bates Clark medalists and individuals affiliated with the University of Chicago have a higher chance of winning the Prize.
Keywords: Nobel Prize; John Bates Clark Medal; Logit Model.
JEL: A1 - General Economics: General
C2 - Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General
Manuscript Received : May 04 2009 Manuscript Accepted : May 22 2009

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