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Nazif Durmaz
''"Housing Prices and Fundamentals: The Role of a Supply Shifter."''
( 2011, Vol. 31 No.3 )
The present paper empirically investigates the cointegrating relation between housing prices and economic fundamental variables in the US housing market. Employing simple yet rigorous econometric techniques, the present paper finds strong evidence in favor of cointegrating relations in most US states when both demand and supply side fundamental variables are included in the cointegrating regression. This result casts doubt on previous empirical work that reports a lack of cointegrating relations of housing prices with mostly demand-side fundamental variables. The previous literature may suffer a misspecification problem. Further, the present cointegrating vector estimates seem consistent with economic theory only when both demand and supply variables are included.
Keywords: Housing prices, cointegration
JEL: E3 - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data)
R1 - General Regional Economics (includes Regional Data)
Manuscript Received : May 13 2011 Manuscript Accepted : Aug 30 2011

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