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Jonathan Lipow and Jay Simon
''Probability segmenting and the social cost of draft evasion''
( 2014, Vol. 34 No.1 )
While a number of papers have addressed the costs and benefits of conscription, only one paper - Warner and Negrussa (2005) - considers the social welfare costs that result from efforts to illegally evade the draft. In this note, we address legal draft evasion - in particular, the use by of personal social or political connections to gain access to "cushy" military assignments. To combat this phenomenon, we illustrate the use of a tool that we call "probability segmenting," essentially a form of draft lottery that at little cost should substantially reduce the number of cushy assignments and their associated social costs.
Keywords: conscription; evasion; lottery; probability segmenting;
JEL: H5 - National Government Expenditures and Related Policies National Government Expenditures and Related Policies: General
J4 - Particular Labor Markets: General
Manuscript Received : Jan 28 2014 Manuscript Accepted : Feb 14 2014

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