First Author:   Joshua Tasoff Claremont Graduate University joshua.tasoff@cgu.edu   Claremont Graduate University, Department of Economics, 160 E. Tenth St Claremont, 91711, USA   (909) 621-8782(Phone) (909) 621-8782(Fax) http://sites.cgu.edu/tasoffj/ Second Author: Matthew R Levy London School of Economics m.r.levy@lse.ac.uk   Houghton Street London, WC2A 2AE, United Kingdom   +44 (0)20 7955 6596(Phone)   http://personal.lse.ac.uk/levymr/