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Reginaldo Pinto Nogueira Jr.
''Is monetary policy really neutral in the long-run? Evidence for some emerging and developed economies''
( 2009, Vol. 29 No.3 )
The traditional economic theory suggests that changes in the money supply or in the interest rates can influence the business cycle, but not the long-run potential output. In other words, monetary policy is neutral over the long-run. In this paper we use some new developments in econometrics to test for the existence of a long-run relationship between the monetary policy instrument used by most Central Banks - short-term interest rates - and real output. Using annual data for 14 emerging and developed countries our results offer overall support for the traditional economic theory.
Keywords: Money neutrality, monetary policy, cointegration tests.
E4 - Money and Interest Rates: General
Manuscript Received : Jun 13 2009 Manuscript Accepted : Sep 28 2009

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