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Amba Oyon Claude Marius, Taoufiki Mbratana and Kane Gilles Quentin |
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''Assessing the current account sustainability in ECCAS economies: A dual cointegration analysis'' |
( 2017, Vol. 37 No.3 ) |
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This paper examines the sustainability of the current account deficits in eight Economic Community of Central African States (ECCAS) over the period 1970 to 2015. The empirical investigation relies on both panel and intra-panel approaches to test for long-run relationship between variables. Furthermore, non-linearity as well as asymmetric adjustment of Enders and Siklos (2001) is taken into account in cointegration analysis. Results from panel analysis show that; although exports and imports are cointegrated, the current account deficits are weakly sustainable in ECCAS. These results also hold in each country's analysis. Therefore, these eight ECCAS countries should implement policies to reinforce the sustainability of the current account deficits. |
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Keywords: Current account, Sustainability, ECCAS, Threshold Cointegration |
JEL: F3 - International Finance: General C2 - Single Equation Models; Single Variables: General |
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Manuscript Received : Jul 01 2017 | | Manuscript Accepted : Aug 31 2017 |
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