First Author:   Erdal Atukeren ETH Zurich, KOF - Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research atukeren@kof.ethz.ch   ETH Zurich, KOF - Swiss Institute for Business Cycle Research, Weinbergstrasse 35, WEH C12 Zurich, 8092, Switzerland   +41 44 632 4683(Phone) +41 44 632 4683(Fax) http://www.kof.ethz.ch Second Author: Aylin Seçkin Istanbul Bilgi University aseckin@bilgi.edu.tr   Istanbul Bilgi University, Department of Economics, Inönü Cad. No:28 Kustepe Istanbul, 34387, Turkey   +90 212 311 6138(Phone)   http://www.bilgi.edu.tr