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| Louis de Berquin Eyike Mbongo, Alexandre Turpin Iroume a Bouebe and François Colin Bouhem |
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| ''Beyond the concrete jungle: urban growth and natural disasters resilience in Africa'' |
| ( 2025, Vol. 0 No.0 ) |
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| The aim of this paper is to empirically analyze the effect of rapid urbanization in Africa on the magnitude of natural disasters. In particular, we study two dimensions of disasters, namely droughts and floods, and capture their magnitude through two variables: total number of people affected and the total number of death. To test this hypothesis, we collected data on 40 African countries over the period 1980-2020 and estimated two models using OLS, Fixed-Effects Poisson estimator and quantile regression. The results suggest that urbanization strongly increases the number of people affected by natural disasters and thus increases their mortality in the African context. Also, the results also indicate the role of economic growth and corruption to tackle the negative impact of natural disasters in Africa. These results underline the urgent need to rethink urbanization policies in Africa to take better account of the risk of natural disasters. |
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| Keywords: Natural disasters, Urbanization, Africa |
JEL: Q5 - Environmental Economics: General
O1 - Economic Development: General |
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| Manuscript Received : Oct 16 2025 | | Manuscript Accepted : Oct 16 2025 |
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